Lost As Politics

I realized something about Lost today. I'm sure I'm not the first person on the web to propose this, but I don't read all the message boards, so I don't know one way or the other.

Jack is the George W. Bush of the island. When things started going bad, everyone looked to him for leadership, because he was the most natural leader (a doctor, good looking, white, etc.) And, for a while, he seemed to be doing well. He got them water, found the caves, toppled the Taliban, etc. He was decisive and clear, and had an 83% approval rating in the tribe.

But then, a new foe appeared (The Others, Iraq), and the shit hit the fan. Jack continued to be clear and decisive. The only problem was, every decision he made ended up being 100% entirely wrong. So, you're saying it's a bad idea to follow the obviously-compromised Michael into the jungle, in search of The Others, with just Sayeed and Jin as backup? It's a bad idea to lead a force of 150,000 troops into a nation of 22 million, depose the leadership, and assume that it'll just, kind of, take care of itself?

Now, he's reemerged from his struggles with a new sidekick (Juliette as Condi Rice?), only he still feels that the entire tribe is on a need-to-know basis, and that as far as they should be concerned, everything is going fine.

I am officially predicting that, sometime in Season 4, Jack's party will suffer a major defeat at the polls, which will lead to him becoming a marginalized force in the island's politics. John Locke (read: Nancy Pelosi) will lead a new, stronger coalition, whose first order of business will be to halt hostilities with The Others, and peace and prosperity will reign supreme. Also, gas prices will be lower.